Bottom line: Ethereum long term structure continues to remain bullish against 90.00 levels. The crypto might be producing a counter trend drop towards 153/155 levels, before reversing higher again.
Fundamental Outlook:
USDCHF exchange rate has been one of the beneficiaries of US Dollar Index gaining traction over the last week, as risk assets reversed. It had managed to raise from 0.9375 through 0.9553 over the last week, as the DXY gained from 95.72 through 97.50 mark. It would be interesting to see how risk assets behave over the coming sessions.
GBPJPY had come under pressure yesterday after the BoE rejected the Negative Interest Rate Policy. The GBPJPY has dropped from 139.50 through 132.40 since June 02, 2020. GBPUSD had also eased off from 1.2550 highs as BoE kept interest rates unchanged at 0.1% and boosted Quantitative Easing (QE) by another GBP100n.
Ethereum has been reeling under pressure along with Bitcoin since June 11, 2020. The crypto has given in from 250 levels since then and print lows around 218.00 before pulling back again. Over the coming sessions, it might come under further pressure as US Dollar set to gain if risk aversion continues.
Technical Analysis:
Ethereum might be underway to complete a corrective drop towards 153/155 levels, before the rally could resume towards 290.00 and 360.00 respectively. Over the last week, bears had managed to reverse lower from 250.00 levels and is trading around 228.00 at the moment.
Ethereum rally from sub 89.00 through 253.00 levels looks to be an impulse, taking out price resistance at 253.00 earlier. The crypto has remained sideways since then, and should be looking to drop towards 153.00/155.00 levels, which is fibonacci 0.618 retracement of the above rally.
Traders might remain flat for now, allowing Ethereum to correct lower before initiating long positions again. Aggressive traders might remain short with stop at 255.00 and target towards 155.00 respectively.
Prepared by
Harsh Japee, Technical Analyst.
Ethereum chart
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