Forex:Bye-bye “hot money”, hello “real money”?

Asian stocks are extending the selloff in US markets, after US indices posted three consecutive days of declines. Just as Big Tech had led US indices higher, so too downwards.

The Nasdaq 100’s 4.77 percent drop on Tuesday officially brings the index into a technical correction, having tumbled by over 10 percent from its record high and now testing its 50-day moving average as a support level.

The worst of the selloff though may be over, with Nasdaq futures slightly higher at the time of writing. Also note that the VIX index, also known as the fear index, has come off the 3-month high it posted last week, though still relatively elevated above the 30 psychological level and higher than its long-term average of around 20.

Prior to the recent selloff, the Nasdaq 100 was coming off the back of its fastest run this century, having doubled in the space of 20 months and crossing above the 12,000 psychological level. Much had been made about valuations reaching nose-bleed heights and pricing in perfection, while the index’s 14-day relative strength index ventured seemingly without a care deep into overbought territory.

Investors are now being made to reckon with those warning signs, as Big Tech leads this recent selloff that has wiped out trillions in overall market value. Having basked in the market’s scorching run over the summer months, a period in which multiple asset classes including stocks, gold, and even oil posted double-digit gains, investors are perhaps bracing for the chilly months ahead.

After all, the global economy is still reeling from the effects of the pandemic, with a vaccine yet to be ready for mass roll-out. The delay in the next round of US fiscal stimulus is also testing investors’ patience, while the November US elections could inject even more doses of uncertainty into global markets.

Recent media reports about Softbank Group making massive bets on tech stocks via the options market added to the narrative that equities were being fuelled by speculation, and a lot less by fundamentals. There were enough signs that a healthy pullback to more sustainable levels for tech counters was in order.

Yet the fundamentals appear to point to a supportive environment for tech counters. The social-distancing measures around the world is set to leave societies ever more reliant on tech offerings, with their business models suited for such an environment. Markets are also awash with unprecedented fiscal and monetary stimulus, while near-zero US interest rates should buffer the appeal of equities.

For proper context, even after the startling decline, the Nasdaq remains 58 percent higher and the S&P 500 is still up by 49 percent from their March troughs, and the price-to-earnings ratios for these indices remain well above their respective long-term averages. Despite such indicators suggesting that there remains a fair bit of hot air that could yet be let out of the overly-inflated tech sector, investors may be faced with scarce alternatives in chasing returns.

Still, it remains to be seen how much of a drop would be enough to entice “real money” investors back into US equities. Perhaps long-term investors are just waiting for the dust to settle before buying the dip.

 


MyFxtops 邁投 (www.myfxtops.com) -Reliable Forex Copy Trade community, follow the master for free to trade!

Disclaimer: This article is reproduced from the Internet. If there is any infringement, please contact us to delete it immediately. In addition: This article only represents the personal opinion of the author and has nothing to do with Mato Finance The originality and the text and content stated in this article have not been confirmed by this site. The authenticity, completeness and timeliness of this article and all or part of the content and text are not guaranteed or promised. Please refer to it for reference only Verify the content yourself.

Copyright belongs to the author.
For commercial reprints, please contact the author for authorization. For non-commercial reprints, please indicate the source.

風險提示

MyFxtops邁投所列信息僅供參考,不構成投資建議,也不代表任何形式的推薦或者誘導行為。MyFxtops邁投非外匯經紀商,不接觸妳的任何資金。 MYFXTOPS不保證客戶盈利,不承擔任何責任。從事外彙和差價合約等金融產品的槓桿交易具有高風險,損失有可能超過本金,請量力而行,入市前需充分了解潛在的風險。過去的交易成績並不代表以後的交易成績。依據各地區法律法規,MyFxtops邁投不向中國大陸、美國、加拿大、朝鮮居民提供服務。

邁投公眾號

聯繫我們

客服QQ:981617007
Email: service@myfxtop.com

MyFxtops 邁投